👉 Hit play. Think smarter. Laugh harder. Maybe even profit.
The peace train is rolling faster than European leaders can debate their own irrelevance. Rubio and Waltz are in Riyadh, likely pushing for a ceasefire. Meanwhile, Europe is still stuck arguing about what it can’t do. The way things are going, Russia might hit the Dnieper before the West finishes its group therapy session on “tough choices.”
Nutstuff Portfolio Check
Markets don’t care about narratives, and neither do we. Nutstuff is down -0.5% YTD, but the benchmark is worse at -2%+. The real story? China is back. FXI is up 24%, BABA 71%, and even Shenzhen housing data is looking spicy. Meanwhile, NVDA’s off by 22%—who would’ve thought that AI hype alone isn’t a bulletproof trade?
Europe? Still a graveyard. $100B fled before the Ukraine war, and less than $5B has dared to return. But here’s the kicker—French banks will rip if peace talks gain traction. We’re in. Added NBIS (ex-Yandex) to the mix too—because real alpha is buying what the herd thinks is uninvestable… until it isn’t.
Where’s the Alpha?
China Tech: BABA, JD, Tencent, PDD, FXI
European Defense: BASF, RWE, Leonardo
Russia-Facing Assets: NBIS, RBI, AV
Not exactly your standard “Magnificent 7” portfolio, but let’s be honest—everyone and their mother is overweight US tech, and that trade is running on fumes.
The “Wants” vs. “Needs” Market Shift
If you think the next 10 years will look like the last 10, you’re already losing. Forget the usual suspects—AMZN, TSLA, NVDA. The real winners? KFC (YUM Brands), waste management (WMX, RSG), missiles (Raytheon), and cigarettes (PMI).
Needs > Wants. Always.
US Economy 101: A Lesson for the UK
Trump’s former Treasury Secretary spilled the truth: 25% of US GDP flows through Washington, D.C. What’s the solution? Shift from government-driven to private-sector-driven growth. In other words, stop setting money on fire. Meanwhile, the UK is still fixated on its slow-motion economic suicide.
Bitcoin: The Smartest People in the Room Are Buying
The US government sold 195,000 BTC for $366M—which would be worth $17B today. That’s how much it cost taxpayers to have bureaucrats with no vision. If the UK had allocated just 0.1% of NIC contributions into Bitcoin over the last decade, they’d be sitting on £78B+. Instead, they got… wind farms.
Nutstuff loves trading against 50-something crypto deniers—keeps things interesting.
Geopolitics: The Narrative vs. Reality
If you still believe the mainstream Ukraine narrative, you need a nap. Washington cut off arms and intelligence to Kyiv—meaning Ukraine will have to fight on, but at what cost? Trump’s “peace plan” is just a polite way of saying, Moscow wins. Europe is panicking, but they still don’t have a plan beyond buying more US-made weapons.
Net Zero Madness: The UK’s Self-Inflicted Wound
Economic success = cheap energy. The UK? Doubling down on expensive green policies that threaten £25B in GDP and 200K jobs in oil & gas. Miliband’s strategy isn’t net zero—it’s net stupidity.
Valaris (VAL US): A Trade the Market Will Wake Up To
15% drawdown in 10 days, but Jon Fredrikson’s buying, the CEO’s buying, and Nutstuff’s buying. Why? Because ships are cash machines. The market’s just slow to price it in.
Stop chasing momentum. Stop buying last year’s winners. If you want to make serious money, buy what no one else wants… before the herd realizes their mistake.
The market doesn’t care about your feelings. Nutstuff just tells it like it is.
No Nonsense, Just Common Sense, Stock Ideas & Conclusions
*Capital at risk, sophisticated investors only https://www.nutstuff.co.uk/disclaimer
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