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From North Sea Failures to Blockchain Railways: Why Smart Money Is Looking Beyond the Usual Suspects.

Why broken forecasts, token-powered telecoms, and new asset classes are defining the next decade of returns.

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The UK government’s tax forecasts continue to lie—fail again. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) predicted £20.7 billion in North Sea oil and gas tax revenue for 2023–24; the real number? A meagre £6.1 billion, barely 30% of expected yields. Meanwhile, digital assets like Bitcoin—small as they are—are quickly outpacing traditional inflation hedges. Forget housing and bonds: the new battleground is governance-aware tokens built into telecom networks. Let's cut through the noise.


1. UK Fiscal Fantasy: North Sea Oil Tax Revenue Falls Flat

  • The OBR’s 2023–24 forecast of £20.7 billion in UK oil and gas tax revenue was wildly off the mark—actual receipts were only £6.1 billion GOV.UK.

  • That stunning shortfall underscores a chronic budgeting failure—it's not just oil, it's also nearly every spending line that's way off.


2. Blockchain Telecom: Helium (HNT) Burns to Deflate – and Revalue

  • Helium’s mobile network is now burning 100% of subscriber revenue into HNT token destruction—a monthly burn rate of $2.3 million BlockworksCoinMarketCap.

  • Actual usage tells the story: ~$50,000 of Data Credits (DCs) burned daily just for network consumption DuneDune.

  • With every dollar of usage shrinking HNT supply, scarcity becomes protocol—a compelling case for Helium as infrastructure, not hype.

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3. The Great Rotation: Real Assets vs Digital Scarcity

  • Traditional hedges are fading: real estate, gold, and even S&P 500 returns are constrained. In contrast, crypto assets still account for just 0.2% of global assets, while gold holds 2.2%, real estate 37%.

  • With an addressable $998 trillion market for inflation-resistant wealth storage, smart capital is beginning to wake up.

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4. The “Saylorisation” of Government Debt

  • Japan is launching its first yen-backed stablecoin (JPYC) pegged 1:1 to the yen and backed by deposits and JGBs. This isn't niche—it's the “Saylorisation” of public debt financing, where crypto mechanics become state financing tools.


5. Only the Infrastructure Tokens Matter

  • Nutstuff prioritizes emerging blockchain protocols with real revenue, users, and token economics, not surface-level speculation.

  • Think “Block 7” protocols—those with unit economics mirroring Web 2 businesses. Helium (HNT) is one such play, and it’s under the radar even as usage climbs.

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6. Geopolitical Flow and Market Implications

  • Progress toward Ukraine–Russia peace is real—war is cooling, oil prices are falling, inflation may moderate, and interest rates could follow. That spells opportunity for Nutstuff’s "Russia Proxies & Portfolio Plays for Peace": NBIS (Yandex), Kyiv VEON, Wizz, BASF, RWE, Arcelor, plus Turkish-listed Russian firms like AEFES TI and ENKAI TI.

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7. Other Market Themes to Watch

  • Uranium / Nuclear: Watch for moves ahead of the World Nuclear Symposium (Sept 3–5). Sprott Physical Uranium Trust options trading starts Sept 2. Key tickers: LTBR, UEC, ASPI, BWXT.

  • Ford (F US): Regulatory relief means Ford can now focus on profitable ICE and trucks—with fewer EV losses. Value turnaround in motion.

  • Peloton (PTON US): October relaunch with “Peloton Intelligence” aims to recast it as a subscription business with sticky margins (~69%) and low churn (~1.2%).

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